Bombshell Last 100 year
Temp Rise has not Caused Sea Level Rise
Temp rise during period was only ¾
of one degree
The paper is currently in press at the Journal of Coastal Research and is provided
with open access to the full publication. The results are stunning for their
contradiction to AGW theories which suggest global warming would accelerate sea
level rise during the last century.
“Our first analysis determined the
acceleration, a2, for each of the 57 records with results tabulated in Table 1
and shown in Figure 4. There is almost a balance with 30 gauge records showing
deceleration and 27 showing acceleration, clustering around 0.0 mm/y2.”
…
The near balance of accelerations and
decelerations is mirrored in worldwide gauge records as shown in Miller and
Douglas (2006)
Abstract:
Sea-Level Acceleration Based on
J. R. Houston† and R. G. Dean‡ †Director Emeritus, Engineer Research and Development
Center, Corps of Engineers, 3909 Halls Ferry Road, Vicksburg, MS 39180, U.S.A. james.r.houston@usace.army.mil
‡Professor
Emeritus, Department of Civil and Coastal Civil Engineering, University of
Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, U.S.A. dean@coastal.ufl.edu
Without sea-level acceleration, the
20th-century sea-level trend of 1.7 mm/y would produce a rise of only
approximately 0.15 m from 2010 to 2100; therefore, sea-level acceleration
is a critical component of projected sea-level rise. To determine this
acceleration, we analyze monthly-averaged records for 57
Received: October 5, 2010; Accepted:
November 26, 2010; Published Online: February 23, 2011
Sea-Level Acceleration Based on
Discussion: (excerpt)
We analyzed the complete records of 57
The extension of the Douglas (1992) data
from 1905 to 1985 for 25 years to 2010 included the period from 1993 to 2010
when satellite altimeters recorded a sea-level trend greater than that of the
20th century, yet the addition of the 25 years resulted in a slightly greater
deceleration.
Conclusion:
Our analyses do not indicate acceleration
in sea level in
It is essential that investigations
continue to address why this worldwide-temperature increase has not produced
acceleration of global sea level over the past 100 years, and indeed why global
sea level has possibly decelerated for at least the last 80 years.
Full paper available online here
WUWT download (faster) here: jcoastres-d-10-00157.1
h/t to John
Droz and to Dr. Willem de Lange